The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting an “above-normal” hurricane season for the Atlantic basin this year. There’s an 85% chance of experiencing a more active season than usual, with 17 to 25 named storms expected.
Here’s a breakdown of the forecast:
- Number of storms: 17 to 25 named storms (winds exceeding 39 mph)
- Hurricanes: 8 to 13 storms are predicted to become hurricanes (winds exceeding 74 mph)
- Major hurricanes: 4 to 7 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, or 5 with winds exceeding 111 mph)
NOAA scientists point to several factors contributing to this active season:
- Warm ocean temperatures: The Atlantic Ocean is experiencing near-record warm temperatures, providing fuel for storm development.
- La Nina: The transition from El Nino to La Nina conditions is expected to reduce wind shear, creating a more favorable environment for hurricanes.
- Reduced trade winds: Weaker trade winds allow storms to organize and strengthen more easily.
Taking Action and Staying Prepared
While the forecast suggests a busy season, it’s important to remember that every hurricane season is unpredictable. Here are some resources to help you stay prepared:
- NOAA: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ provides the latest forecasts and hurricane preparedness information.
- FEMA: The Federal Emergency Management Agency https://www.fema.gov/ offers guidance on building an emergency plan and assembling a disaster kit.
Forecast Aligned with Other Experts
Predictions from other leading hurricane forecasters like Colorado State University (CSU) and AccuWeather also suggest an active season, highlighting the warm ocean temperatures and La Nina’s influence.
The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30. Don’t wait until the last minute – take steps to prepare your home and family now!
Click here for more info
